Our in-house research product

How to read
a market

See how the product compares market prices with sportsbook references.

This walkthrough follows Denver in a Seahawks vs Broncos market.Inside the comparison

Actual featured tile: Seattle Seahawks versus Denver Broncos. Seattle 56%, Denver 44%. Denver’s Books reference is 46%, with a displayed gap of plus 2 points.

The market

Seahawks vs Broncos, with prices for each team.

Selected outcome

Follow Denver throughout this example.

Historical capture: October 9, 2026. This example uses a sportsbook consensus reference. Precision’s own model estimates are a separate research method.

Compare prices
and references

Both readings refer to Denver on the same contract.

Actual outcome table. Denver Broncos: price 44 cents, Books 46 cents, gap plus 2. Seattle: price 56 cents, Books 54 cents, gap minus 2. — Close-up of the product’s outcome table

Column labels in the actual product: Price, Books, Gap. — Close-up of the product’s outcome table

Kalshi market midpoint

44% is the captured Kalshi midpoint for Denver’s side. An actual purchase uses the ask price.

Sportsbook consensus

The median probability from three sportsbooks, after removing their margins, rounds to 46%.

Difference in probability points

The difference is approximately +1.67 points, displayed as +2. It is not a return, a guarantee or a trade instruction.

Following
Denver Broncos

Track the
price history

The chart shows the market price in white and the recorded reference in mint.

Reference methods may differ across this series of historical readings.

Actual product chart for Denver, October 6 through October 8: market prices and the product’s recorded reference series. The current captured endpoint is labeled Market 44 cents and Books 46 cents; method provenance is not established for every historical reference point. — Real price history from the same market detail view

How the Books
reference works

This reference comes from sportsbook quotes, with the margin removed before taking the median probability.

Actual product source disclosure: Sportsbook consensus reference. The probability comes from sportsbook quotes. The exchange quote is used for comparison. No model approval, trade action or sizing. — Source disclosure.

Sources & snapshot details

Captured from Precision’s public interface on October 9, 2026. Figures are historical, rounded and informational. The displayed Denver side is NO on the Seattle-wins contract, including overtime; it is not the separately listed Denver contract.

Market contract: KXNFLGAME-26OCT15SEADEN-SEA
Comparison basis: Sportsbook consensus · three books · margin removed · median
Reference, unrounded: 45.6693% for the NO / Denver side
Market midpoint: 44% for NO · 43¢ bid / 45¢ ask
Matching API observation: October 9, 2026, 1:01:35 a.m. ET
Consensus source time: October 8, 2026, 9:41:42 p.m. ET

Market detail Current source response Kalshi contract

Source links may now show different figures. This is a product walkthrough, not evidence of predictive performance. Team names and imagery appear within the captured product interface.

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How to read a market